| 1. | Energy source is one of the very important factors for chinese economic fluctuation . under the current macroeconomic policy goals , chinese energy price goes up by 10 % , and this leads to about ( 0 . 29 % ) of inflation rate , ( 0 . 35 % ) up of general price level , 0 . 34 % of output gap and accumulatively ( 0 . 41 % ) loss of output . meantime , ( 100 % ) up of world oil price will result in chinese mild increase of price level and mild decrease of output , both by less than 1 % 能源是影响中国经济波动的一个重要因素,在目前中国所实行的宏观经济政策目标下,中国能源总体价格上升10 % ,当年的通货膨胀率上升大约0 . 29 % ,最终导致的总体价格水平上升0 . 35 % ,而产出缺口在当年为0 . 34 % ,最终造成的产出损失累计为0 . 41 % ;国际石油价格上升100 %将导致中国物价出现温和上升以及产出出现小幅下降,但二者均不会超过1 % 。 |